Sales of Sony's PlayStation 3 (PS3) consoles last week in Japan totaled 51,055, toughly an 8 percent drop from 55,344 units the week before. The result is relatively stable considering the release of the PS3 Slim had driven sales up to 151,000 units suddenly in the country, leading to some speculation about whether the console would see a lasting boost from the new model.
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If you look at yearly wii vs ps3 sales in 2009 compared to 2008 in japan, it's obvious that the Wii is really on a decline there. Japanese gamers have went portable and for those left that still care about home consoles, about 8.5+ million already have a Wii. The DS is cannibalizing the Wii demographic. So it's expected the PS3 will perform better. Though I doubt the PS3 will catch up in all-time sales to Wii. That's a 5 million gap. The market is portable now.
Also in every console war since PS1, it seems like the winner always turned out to be the easy to pirate system. PS1, PS2 and now Wii. I'm pretty sure this pattern won't break. Even for the so-called "core gamer", the Wii's software library is good enough and the hardware is cheap enough to justify buying it for the easy "backup" loading.